countries include presenting the EU institutions as “weak” and promising an imminent collapse
of the West (Chulitskaya, 2019). Many of those narratives align with storylines propagated by
local junk news outlets that are linked to Russia, such as vitbich.org and mogilew.by
(Chulitskaya, 2019).
Trolling tactics rely on human users who spread pro-government information in the comment
sections of leading independent media. Over the past decade, trolls praising the regime and
denouncing the opposition have increased their operation significantly (Freedom House, 2019).
Their purpose is to mobilize public opinion and to criticize any type of regime opponents.
Several popular independent outlets claim that they have become victims of troll farms.
According to the editors of leading news outlets that include Nasha Niva and Tut.by, these
farms target comment sections on their websites to attack pro-democracy activists and regime
opponents and to promote pro-government narratives (NN.by, 2015, 2020). There are also
some signs of troll farms operating on social media platforms. However, it does not appear that
they function as the major source of misinformation on social media. The platforms most
impacted by disinformation are Facebook, OK, Telegram, VK and YouTube.
Table 2: Observed Strategies, Tools and Techniques of Social Media Manipulation in
Belarus
Account Types Messaging and Valence
Content
and Platforms
Communication
Strategies
Human
Pro-government messages,
Telegram channels, fake VK
messages attacking foreign
and Facebook accounts,
states, attacks on the
YouTube channels, memes,
opposition, the government, misinformation websites
polarization strategies, trolling
and harassment
Source: Authors’ evaluations based on data collected.
Telegram,
YouTube,
VK,
Facebook,
Twitter
Organizational Capacity and Resources
The propaganda efforts appear to be both centrally coordinated and decentralized. Central
coordination takes place through the government structures such as the office of the president,
who controls all key figures in the police and state media. Certain groups of trolls operate in a
more decentralized manner. However, their origins and affiliations are uncertain. There is
scarce information available about the resource spent to support manipulation efforts. Statecontrolled media outlets are present in all regions of Belarus and require significant resources.
As all of them share manipulative political content, we may safely assume that a portion of
their 2020 state budget funding of $73 million (an increase compared to 2019) will be directed
at propaganda (Law of the Republic of Belarus ‘On republican budget for 2020’, 2019).
Table 3: Cyber Troop Capacity in Belarus
Team
Resources
Spent Activity Levels
Size
(USD)
>100
Coordination Capacity Measure
73 million to be spent to State backed media, troll Somewhat
support state-controlled groups and Russiancentralized
media in 2020
backed channels operate
on a constant basis.
Source: Authors’ evaluations based on data collected.
44
Belarus troops:
Low.
Russian troops in
Belarus: high