deaths. Around 70,000 people – five times more than
commonly reported – may have been killed in Yemen
since January 2016, according to new statistics. ProHouthi and pro-Saudi social media narratives have
each sought to discredit the other in a process of
vigorous contestation. There has also been an
escalation of clashes between southern secessionist
fighters and Hadi-aligned forces, as well as
unprecedented violence between ISIS and al-Qaeda
factions in Bayda province.
Insecurity continues unabated in Pakistan, where
religious minorities, politicians and security forces
continue to be targeted by Islamist militants. The
Pakistani Taliban and ISIS affiliates failed to derail
parliamentary elections in July but killed hundreds of
civilians, including 149 in Mastung, Baluchistan – the
country’s second deadliest attack by extremists to date.
In response, security personnel continue to perpetrate
a range of abuses, including against civilians. Owing to
suppression of traditional journalism by government
authorities and militants alike, social media plays a
significant role in reporting on such issues. In May,
following the overturning of a high-profile blasphemy
charge against Asia Bibi, massive demonstrations led
by clerics erupted across the country, calling for her
death. In February 2019, the government announced
plans to crack down on extremism and hate speech on
social media, which feed into the broader atmosphere
of discrimination and intolerance towards Bibi, a
Christian, as well as other religious minorities.
Discord persists between Libya’s rival governments,
backed by loyal or loosely affiliated militias and
autonomous armed groups battling one another. After
formidable territorial gains throughout 2018, the selfstyled Libyan National Army, led by Khalifa Haftar,
advanced on Tripoli in April 2019 intending to
capture the city from the UN-backed Government of
National Accord. Haftar’s all-out push for military
victory raises the stakes for all parties and risks
skyrocketing casualties and other human rights abuses
that have long been perpetrated by armed groups with
impunity. Facebook and Twitter have become
significant online battlefields, where adversaries –
including many pro-Haftar bots – weaponize photos
and video footage. In Libya’s south, Tebu, Tuareg, and
Arab armed groups continue to fight over territory
and resources. While weakened, ISIS and al-Qaedalinked fighters seek to regain influence.
While the April 2018 arrival of reformist Prime
Minister Abiy Ahmed has given rise to optimism,
6
Ethiopia faces dire challenges. Ahmed has released
thousands of political prisoners, invited former rebel
groups to dialogue, and lifted severe restrictions on
the country’s television and online media landscape.
Yet freeing up political space has energized power
struggles between dominant ethnic groups who stand
to benefit or lose from wide-ranging reforms. With
little constraint on expression of grievances,
proliferation of extreme views on social media risks
inflaming ethnic violence. In the south, deadly
conflict between ethnic Oromo and Somalis
intensified, as did clashes between armed groups and
the army in the west. Some opposition groups
returning from Eritrea have failed to disarm, attacking
military and civilian targets and triggering intercommunal violence, notably among Guji and Gedeo.
More people were internally displaced in Ethiopia in
2018 than in any other country, totalling nearly 3
million according to some estimates.
Rising threats
The civilian death toll in Afghanistan reached an alltime yearly high in 2018, with 3,804 killed and
another 7,189 injured. Fighting spiked between the
government – supported by international forces – and
armed groups, with government-controlled territory
shrinking to its lowest level since the fall of the
Taliban in 2001. To counter this discouraging picture,
the Afghan Ministry of Defence publishes on its
Twitter feed the daily number of Taliban fighters
killed or captured. The Taliban, in turn, widely use
WhatsApp and Twitter to recruit, plan and claim
responsibility for attacks, and fundraise. Civilians
continue to be victimized by security personnel and
targeted by both Taliban and ISIS insurgents, who
have also engaged in fighting with each another.
Bombings and other attacks have struck hotels and
schools, including numerous polling stations during
the October parliamentary elections, with the Hazara
Shi’a minority specifically targeted. The Taliban
entered into peace talks with US officials in October,
but has derived leverage through stepped-up
offensives likely to surge further if talks collapse.
Throughout 2018 conflict wore on in the CAR
between largely Muslim ex-Séléka rebels and mainly
Christian anti-balaka militias, who have fought since
2013. Hate speech and incitement on social media have
played a significant role in fuelling inter-communal
bloodshed. Within the past year, between 70 and 80
Peoples under Threat 2019