(US) Africa Command, have resulted in further
civilian deaths and widespread abuses. Civilians have
also been targeted or faced indiscriminate attacks
during inter-clan violence in several regions. Midway
through 2018, renewed armed conflict between the
Somaliland and Puntland regional governments
uprooted at least 12,500 people, while across the
country more than 2.6 million remain displaced.
South Sudan remains on the precipice of another
round of brutal violence. Despite a September 2018
agreement between the government and the main
opposition group to enter into a power-sharing
arrangement, conflict has ebbed but not ended. Forces
loyal to President Salva Kiir and opposition leader Riek
Machar remain responsible for depredations against
civilians including unlawful killings, torture, sexual
violence, and use and recruitment of child soldiers.
Efforts to hold to account perpetrators of war crimes
and crimes against humanity via a Hybrid Court for
South Sudan have been obstructed. Particularly in
former Unity State, famine has also exacerbated fatal
inter-ethnic violence between Dinka, Nuer and Muerle
communities seeking to acquire cattle and pastureland.
While internet coverage is low even in population
centres, civil society actors have suggested that social
media literacy could accelerate peace efforts. Still,
lasting peace remains distant and threatened by
opportunistic manoeuvring by the main parties.
While Iraq remains prone to further outbreaks of
violence, the Twitter hashtag #AllEyesOnISIS –
previously used to amplify propaganda and generate a
climate of fear as the group conquered swathes of the
country – has lost much of its currency. While the
Iraqi military, and affiliated mainly Shi’a sectarian
militias, Kurdish forces and the US-led international
coalition continue to clash with ISIS fighters in rural
holdouts, the group has been reduced mainly to
operating sleeper cells and launching terrorist attacks
in population centres. While 2018 saw the lowest
number of civilian casualties in Iraq since the US-led
invasion of the country in 2003, approximately 1.8
million Iraqis are still internally displaced, and deep
socio-political fault lines have yet to be resolved.
Particularly in Nineva and Anbar, where ISIS drew
significant support, civilians continue to face harsh
measures amounting to collective punishment by
security forces, including arbitrary detentions and
torture. Iraqi judges have prosecuted thousands of
ISIS suspects based on flawed procedures, although
some improvements have been made.
Peoples under Threat 2019
In the wake of a rigged and long-delayed election in
December 2018, the Democratic Republic of the
Congo (DRC) remains riven by conflict and
instability. More than 140 armed groups, including
government security forces and militias based in
neighbouring countries, are active in central and
eastern Congo. Various forces, including the
Congolese army, have committed atrocities including
massacres and recruitment of child soldiers. The year
2018 also saw an upsurge of violence in north-eastern
Ituri province, where ethnic Lendu armed groups
clashed with ethnic Hema and the Congolese army.
The country holds more than 5 million displaced
people from within and outside its borders,
representing Africa’s largest displacement crisis.
Authorities in Kinshasa have engineered internet and
social media bans to assist in denying the severity of
Congo’s enduring mismanagement and insecurity.
Looking towards an uncertain future, Sudan sits
high in the Peoples under Threat table. Mass antiausterity demonstrations in late 2018 led, nearly four
months later, to the end of President Omar al-Bashir’s
three-decade reign. A prominent mobilizing and
organizing role was played by social media – banned
but still accessible through virtual private networks
(VPNs) – which rallied protesters around an iconic
video of a young female activist that went viral
globally. Steps towards a civilian-led transitional
government have been tentative, with a military
council attempting to take control and confronting
ongoing demonstrations with deadly force. It remains
to be seen whether Bashir will one day be prosecuted
by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for
atrocity crimes against Darfur’s non-Arab ethnic
groups. Fighting is ongoing in Darfur’s Jebel Marra
region, where civilians have been attacked by
paramilitary Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese
army, which also continues to battle rebels in South
Kordofan and Blue Nile states.
With no end in sight, and against the backdrop of
the world’s worst humanitarian disaster, the war in
Yemen has entered its fifth year. Fierce fighting has
resumed several months after a fragile UN-backed
ceasefire deal in December between Houthi rebels
and the internationally recognized government of
Abd-Rabbo Mansour Hadi. Civilians have suffered
airstrikes and shelling from all sides of the conflict,
but the Saudi-led coalition – supporting Hadi and
itself backed by the US, UK, and France – has been
responsible for a disproportionate number of civilian
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