Benefits of recognising a crime against humanity
Establishing the military’s earthquake response as a crime against humanity carries significant
legal and political benefits. Crimes against humanity apply to individuals, not states, so would
hold General Min Aung Hlaing and his top aides personally responsible. It provides another legal
basis for prosecuting them at the International Criminal Court (ICC) or in national courts
exercising universal jurisdiction.
It would also label the military’s response as an atrocity, thereby delegitimising the military’s
forthcoming January 2026 “elections” and dissuading regional leaders from continuing their
recent reproachment to the regime. Moreover, given the international community’s weak
support so far, this designation would compel global actors under the Responsibility to Protect
doctrine to increase aid and ensure it reaches those in need.
Evidence of a crime against humanity in the earthquake response
A “crime against humanity,” as defined by the Rome Statute (Art. 7), involves acts such as
murder, inhumane treatment, extermination, and persecution when knowingly committed as
part of a widespread or systematic attack on a civilians. Establishing whether the military has
committed a crime against humanity requires examining whether its actions meet each element
of this definition.
Which criminal acts are the military committing?
Despite widespread internet shutdowns, press restrictions, and other repressive measures,
journalists, aid workers, and opposition groups have documented clear instances of military
obstruction, diversion, and denial of aid to earthquake survivors. The intentional deprivation of
essential resources, knowing that it could lead to death, could amount to “murder”.
After the earthquake, and even since a declared nationwide ceasefire, the military reportedly
continued airstrikes on civilian areas, resulting in further displacement and fear. These ongoing
attacks, alongside information restrictions, exacerbate pre-existing conflict vulnerabilities and
may collectively be considered “inhumane acts”.
Moreover, reports indicate that aid has been intentionally diverted or denied to specific
demographic groups in Sagaing, Bago, and Shan regions with strong opposition to the military.
Such discriminatory actions, calculated to deprive a segment of the population of fundamental
rights, may constitute “persecution” and, if it results in significant deaths, could even reach the
threshold of “extermination”.