Analysis
State of Play of the ARF@25
Termsak Chalermpalanupap takes stock of the achievements and limitations of the ARF.
A
s the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) celebrates its 25th
anniversary this year, it is time to look back on the past
quarter century of this unique regional process initiated
by ASEAN in 1993. The ARF was aimed at strengthening
peace and security in Southeast Asia. Another important
objective was, and still is, to encourage the US to continue
its engagement with ASEAN and support for ASEAN
member states in national development and security. This
was especially pressing in the early 1990s when the US
closed down its military bases in Clark and Subic Bay in
the Philippines while China began to rise as a new but as
yet unpredictable regional power.
In parallel with the imperative to keep the US in the
region, the ARF also aimed to engage China and Russia
in multilateral dialogue on regional security issues with
a hope to integrate them as constructive players in the
regional security architecture. China was at first reluctant
but quickly learned to advance its positions and interests
in the ARF and other ASEAN-led multilateral processes.
Russia, on the other hand, has been less active since its
key security concerns remain with Europe and the Middle
East. The ARF has also benefited ASEAN in the sense
that it has enhanced ASEAN’s importance and credibility
as the most acceptable or the least objectionable convener
of multilateral processes for dialogue and cooperation on
regional issues. Instead of trying to keep out major external
powers from Southeast Asia, ASEAN turned to engage all
of them in the ARF.
With 27 participants, the ARF has become a significant
part of the regional security architecture that has attracted
worldwide attention. France, the United Kingdom, Brazil,
Turkey and Iran have shown interest to join the forum.
However, the ARF membership moratorium has been in
place since the admission of Sri Lanka in 2007. One notable
participant in the ARF is the Democratic People’s Republic
of Korea (DPRK), which joined in 2000. President Moon
Jae-in of the Republic of Korea noted in his Singapore
Lecture on 13 July 2018 that the ARF represented a “vital
channel” for the DPRK to communicate with the world
community. Indeed, the ARF offers the unique diplomatic
THE ASEAN REGIONAL FORUM MEMBERSHIP
ASEAN Member States:
Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos,
Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines,
Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam
6 — ISSUE 5/2018
ASEAN Dialogue Partners: Australia,
Canada, China, the European Union,
India, Japan, New Zealand, the Republic
of Korea, Russia and the United States
Others: Papua New Guinea, the
Democratic People’s Republic of
Korea, Mongolia, Pakistan, TimorLeste, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka