financial systems will be promoted.
With the above effects, lending of funds to businesses and individuals by commercial
banks is also promoted, contributing to the economic development in Myanmar.
Indicators for measuring effectiveness are set as a means for confirming the effect of
the performance of the project. These indicators can be categorized into quantitative
indicators
(measurable
by
numerical
value)
and
qualitative
indicators
(unmeasurable by numerical value).
(2) Quantitative indicators
(A) Settlement amount on CBM-NET
The settlement amount per day processed on CBM-NET is 6,610 (hundred million
MMK) at present, and is expected to grow to 12,438 (hundred million MMK) after
the implementation of the second project (assumed to be three years from the
completion of project in 2023).
In particular, as current Phase 1 system will be used continuously, it is deduced to
increase according to the current growth rate (10.3% per year) until 2013. Meanwhile,
after the go-live of CBM-NET Phase 2, by the solution of current barrier avoiding
from using CBM-NET and the utilization of STP, an interbank transfer services
which are covered by CBM-NET Phase 2 will be conducted on the CBM-NET.
Therefore, the settlement amount on CBM-NET will increase in proportion of
Myanmar’s GDP growth prediction (13.95% per year 12 ). In result, the average
settlement amount on CBM-NET will be raise up to 12,438 (hundred million MMK)
per day in 2023.
Table 4 Growth of the settlement amount on CBM-NET
Year
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Growth rate
10.3% 10.3% 10.9%* 13.95% 13.95% 13.95%
(per year)
Settlement amount
(hundred million
6,973
7,692
8,490
9,579 10,915 12,438
MMK per day)
* 10.3% per year growth until the go-live of CBM-NET Phase 2 (Oct. 2020), 13.95%
per year growth after the go-live.
12
On the assumption that GDP growth based on 6 year growth average including latest GDP growth
which is announced after IMF Article IV Consultation with Myanmar (Jan. 25, 2017)
viii