Final Report Chapter 5 Mid-Term Development Plan (2) Regional ratios of Total Voice Subscribers including fixed and mobile phones ( x million ) (a) Voice subscribers in 3 Metros: 48 (x million ) x 30% = 14.4 (x million) (b) Voice subscribers in the small cities: 48 (x million) x 12% =5.76(x million) (c) Voice subscribers in provinces: 48 (x million) x 58% = 27.84 (x million) (3) Popularity of Total Voice Subscribers (a) 3 Metros: 14.40 (x million) / 12.0 (x million) x 100 = 120.0% (b) Small cities: 5.76 (x million) / 6.0 (x million) x 100 = 96.0% (c) Provinces* 27.84 (x million) ?42.0 (x million) x 100 =66.29% (4) Regional ratios for Total Data Subscribers (a) 3 Metros: 30 (x million) x 30% = 9.0 (x million) (b) Small cities: 30 (x million) x 12%=3.6 (x million) (c) Provinces: 30 (x million) x 58%=17.4 (x million) (5) Popularity of Total Data subscribers (a) 3 Metros: 9.0 (x million) / 12.0 (x million) x 100 = 75% (b) Small cities: 36 (x million) / 6.0 (x million) x 100 =60.0% (c) Provinces: 17.4 (x million) / 42.0 (x million) x 100=41.43% (3) Meaning of Table 5.2-8 Comparing the rate of popularity of the fixed telephone subscribers by region shown in Table 5.2-8 with the popularity of the fixed telephone by countries, the result are given in the Table 5.2-9. Table 5.2-9 Estimated Telephone Density by Region Region 3 Metros and cities between 3 Metro Small cities Provinces Telephone Density (%) 120: refer to Table 3.3-2: Average in Thailand and Indonesia 96: refer to Table 3.3-2 Average in Philippines and Laos 66: refer to Table 3.3-2 Approx.30% lower than average in Laos Source: Prepared by Survey Team 5.2.8 Time-wise Factors in Programs for Communication Infrastructure Volume In Paragraph 5.2.7, the assumptions under which the number of users of various services and the amount of the transmitted amount of information are predicted, at the time when the total number of the fixed telephone and mobile phone subscribers may reach 80% of the population, and the amount of transmitted information required under such assumptions has been estimated. Then, the probable time of the total subscribers may come to 80% (Popularity of telephone subscribers reach 80% of population) of the population will be studied. As described above, Myanmar Government has announced the plan the number of telephone subscribers may become 75~80% within 2015/2016. It means that the target of 80% will be attained before the Yen credit program will be terminated. 5-23

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