7/29/26, 11:40 AM State repression increases under the Myanmar military’s new leadership | ACLED As the monsoon begins, the military’s air- and drone strikes targeting civilians will likely decline, but are likely to resume following the end of the monsoon period in October and continue through the remainder of 2026. As the military seeks to recapture lost territories through intensive air campaigns and targeted attacks, civilians in active conflict areas will continue to be displaced, some will cross into neighboring countries, while others will face worsening humanitarian conditions, including lack of health care, and increasing food insecurity. The military is focusing its remote violence on key conflict zones, but the attacks remain highly lethal ACLED records increases in remote violence in major zones of conflict across Chin, Kayin, and Rakhine states and eastern Bago, Magway, and Sagaing regions. While overall remote violence has gradually declined since January 2026, the military’s counteroffensives — which often involve large-scale ground assaults supported by air- and drone strikes — have overwhelmingly concentrated in selected conflict zones. Civilians in these areas are exposed to airstrikes, artillery, and other forms of remote violence (see map below), and reported casualties continue to be high. The military’s ongoing terror strategy includes a focus on civilian infrastructure and social gatherings, such as weddings and religious festivals, to maximize psychological impact. Schools, hospitals, churches, and monasteries — frequently used as IDP shelters — remain targets. https://acleddata.com/report/state-repression-increases-under-myanmar-militarys-new-leadership 4/9