Lydia Laurenson
Polarisation and Peacebuilding Strategy on Digital Media Platforms: Current Research
3
The State of the Research
According to Merriam-Webster, societal “polarisation” is “concentration about opposing
extremes of groups or interests formerly ranged on a continuum” (definition retrieved
2/28/2019). Conflict theorists pay attention to polarisation because increased polarisation
is a warning sign for armed conflict, as documented in texts like Contemporary Conflict
Resolution (Ramsbotham, Woodhouse, and Miall; 4th edition 2016). Even when it does not
lead to war, polarisation can drastically decrease the effectiveness of governments and other
institutions.
The question of whether polarisation is good or bad is outside the scope of this brief, but it
is worth noting that it can be understood as positive. For instance, one way of thinking about
polarisation is as an indicator that narrative and power are being negotiated. (How much of
the idea of “polarisation” is broader society reacting to marginalised groups asserting themselves?) From this perspective, conflict can also be understood as positive; the threat of
conflict or revolution can be a deciding factor reining in sadistic dictators.
In writing this brief, my intent is not to dismiss oppressed groups’ concerns. In some parts
of the world, we are already starting to see the blatant combination of authoritarian
sensibilities plus finely-tuned behavioral modification through constant surveillance. Digital
media could become a straightforward tool for the privileged to quell their subjects. Imagine
a dictator who can press a “depolarise” button, from an isolated tower, insulated from
consequences after their subjects protest abuse.
Yet although these are important concerns, peacebuilding is important, and empathy, and
nonviolent conflict resolution — and depolarisation can be a way of talking about those
things.
1. Research Methodology, Focus, and Limitations
This review focuses narrowly on research related to polarisation and peacebuilding-related
political questions, such as how digital media can change voting patterns; digital
propaganda; how viral content works; and so on. As per the author note, this review
excludes many studies with slightly suspect findings and those that are out of scope (for
example, studies about how digital media affects well-being).
Researching this subject is complicated by the fact that there is no common methodology or
set of definitions. Some people have created, or are working on, meta-analyses of disinformation specifically — for instance, Jonathan Stray at Columbia University and Jennifer
Kavanagh at RAND Corporation — but there are no common methodologies for broader
political and societal impacts of digital media.
The Social Science Research Council is working on this problem, and Samuel Spies at SSRC
sent the following statement: “SSRC is in the process of creating a web portal and content
aggregation service, with a target launch date in the fall of 2019. The Council hopes this new
project will consolidate an expanding scholarly literature that originates in multiple,
partially overlapping fields. As part of this initiative, it will summarize research findings,