Ta’ang, and Kokang have all reported instances of armed skirmishes instigated and/or
exacerbated by the Tatmadaw.
It is important to consider the extent to which the military’s breaking of the NCA
is centered around economic objectives. The NCA is considerably inspired by the
Tatmadaw’s desire to reshape its international image and attract foreign industry and
investors. In recent years, following the commencement of multiple special economic
projects—some without the official approval of the central NLD government—it has
become more economically and/or politically beneficial for the military to break the NCA
and gain control of regions they believe have the highest earning and development
potential. The military knows that actively breaking the NCA might reignite full-blown
civil war in any of the regions in question, so it remains large enough, strong enough,
modernized and bureaucratized enough to shut down any offensive launched by even the
largest armed ethnic organizations.
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