Final Report
Chapter 5 Mid-Term Development Plan
Total communication speed to international telephone from mobile phone subscriber (Gbps):
11.57 x 28.5 x 0.7 = 230.90Gbps
The communication speed or amount of information indicates the average values. In the real
networks, these communication speed or amount of information should accept such variation with
time. Therefore, in designing the networks, we use a larger figures than these values. The ratio to
be applied has used ‘1.5 ‘.
From this table, it has been understood that the communication capacity and the international
communication capacity are affected largely by the traffic of Internet (data).
(2)
Regional Distributions of Population and Subscribers
Table 5.2-8 gives the assumptions to predict the regional distributions and popularity of the
mobile phones and the fixed telephones by region and the degrees of popularity of them predicted
under these assumptions.
Table 5.2-8 Subscriber Number Forecast
Population
Ratio
(%)
3 Metro
Small City
Province
Total
20.0
10.0
70.0
100.0
Total
(Table 5.2-7)
Number of Users/Lines/Subscribers
Pop
（Million）
12.0
6.0
42.0
60.0
Ratio
(%)
30.0
12.0
58.0
100.0
60.0
Voice
(Million)
14.4
5.76
27.84
48.0
Penet.
(%)
120.0
96.0
66.29
48.0
Data
（Million）
9.0
3.6
17.4
30.0
Penet.
(%)
75.0
60.0
41.43
30.0
Source: Prepared by Survey Team
The Table 5.2-8 gives the basic assumptions and thereby produced assumptions. They are
explained as follows, when explained according to Table 5.2-8.
Basic assumptions
No. of subscribers：
Voice: 48.0 (million) subscribers
Data: 30.0 (million) subscribers
Ratios of populations:
3 Metros: 20.0%, Small cities: 10.0%,
Provinces:
Ratio of Subscribers（Voice, Data）
3 Metros: 30.0%, Small cities: 12%, Provinces: 58%
Derived assumptions
(1) Regional distribution of total population, 60(million)
(a) 60(x million) x 20% =12.0 (x million ): 3 Metros
(b) 60(x million) x 10% =6.0 (x million ): Small Cities
(c) 60(x million) x 70% =42.0 (x million ): Provinces
5-22
70%