deadly clashes with Kurdish groups near the Iran-Iraq
border, who have intensified their armed struggle for
autonomy in the past few years.
After a worrying trend in recent years, Cameroon
has leapt up the index amid sharply escalating political
violence in the country’s north-west and south-west
regions. Peaceful demonstrations in 2016 against
decades-old political and economic marginalization of
the country’s Anglophone regions by the Frenchdominated government has led to a separatist
movement for an independent state, Ambazonia.
Thousands of people have been killed or disappeared
at the hands of government forces and numerous
emerging separatist groups, who have committed a
range of abuses, often against civilians. At the same
time, Boko Haram attacks persist in the far north,
adding to the growing numbers of IDPs and a
deepening humanitarian crisis. President Paul Biya, in
power since 1982, has labelled the separatists as
terrorists and social media ‘a new form of terrorism’.
Facing prolonged internet shutdowns and scant
international attention, protesters, and later separatists,
have relied heavily on Twitter hashtags to mobilize.
In Chad, following the violent repression of antiausterity protests, President Idriss Déby pushed
through constitutional reforms in April 2018 that
enable him to stay in power until 2033. In the lead-up
to this, authorities launched a social media ban –
now in its second year – which aims at stymying the
ability of critics to mobilize. The government also
claims that social media aids the recruitment of rebel
coalition fighters, who have grown bolder in their
attempts to overthrow Déby’s regime: in February
2019, the Chadian Army relied on French airstrikes
to repel a heavily armed rebel convoy arriving from
southern Libya. Fatal clashes between government
forces and militants over control of gold mines in
Tibesti region escalated in August 2018, and in
south-west Chad, attacks on civilians and security
personnel by the Boko Haram faction known as
Islamic State West Africa Province have risen in
frequency and scale from 2018 into 2019.
While violence has now reached unprecedented
levels, Mali has been the epicentre of instability
extending beyond its borders since a rebellion by allied
Tuaregs and jihadists in 2012 was confronted by French
military intervention. From 2018, northern and central
Mali saw an escalation of deadly assaults by Islamist
armed groups linked to al-Qaeda, and to a lesser extent
ISIS, on security personnel and members of the UN
8
peacekeeping mission. Many civilians have been killed,
often by improvised explosive devices (IEDs) on
roadways, and the army has committed atrocities,
including summary executions during counterterrorism operations. Deep-rooted communal tensions
exploded in 2018, resulting in hundreds of deaths from
attacks and reprisals between Dogon and Peuhl
(Fulani) ethnic groups, with members of the latter
being viewed by the former as potential recruits of
extremist groups. At the heart of the tensions are issues
to do with land use and access to grazing and water. In
April 2019, facing mass protests against its failure to
provide security, Mali’s recently elected government
resigned after some 160 Peuhl herders were brutally
massacred in Ogossagou village.
The aftermath of Venezuela’s deeply flawed and
contested re-election of Nicolás Maduro in May 2018
has fuelled fears of escalating violence. Thousands of
injuries and more than 100 deaths have resulted from
continued clashes between pro- and anti-government
protesters, and security forces have acted with
impunity in violently cracking down on the latter.
Provocations by domestic and international actors,
namely the US, have deepened the country’s political
and economic crisis and led to a failed uprising in
April 2019 by opposition leader Juan Guaidó, who
has been endorsed by some members of the
international community as the ‘interim President’.
The government has strategically alternated between
blocking and allowing the use of social media, on
which both sides have relied to construct legitimacy
and mobilize supporters. Venezuela’s worsening
situation, including skyrocketing inflation and a
public health crisis, have led to the largest exodus in
recent Latin American history, with some 2.7 million
Venezuelans having left the country since 2015. The
country has continued its climb up the index,
following on from a rise in 2018’s table.
Niger is facing the spillover effects of conflicts
raging in neighbouring Mali and Nigeria as well as
internal drivers of insecurity and political instability.
Violence in the border regions has resulted in
population displacement and contributed to the
country’s deepening humanitarian crisis. In the southeast Diffa region, near the border with Nigeria,
ISIS-linked Boko Haram fighters and other
supporting militants continue to strike state security
forces. Near the Malian border in the western Tillabéri
region, the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara has
launched attacks on military and police officers and
Peoples under Threat 2019