refugees in Bangladesh.72 Meanwhile, cuts in international aid led Bangladesh and India to forcibly
return Rohingya to Burma, driving many to pay human traffickers for perilous boat journeys to Thailand,
Malaysia, and Indonesia. In 2025, the junta confirmed 180,000 Rohingya refugees were “eligible to return”
from Bangladesh, yet anti-Rohingya rhetoric from both the regime and contesting political parties show
that oppressive and violent policies toward Rohingya will remain, regardless of who has territorial control. 73
“Safe return” for Rohingya is impossible, regardless of who controls the territory
Any repatriated Rohingya would likely be forcibly conscripted as “cannon fodder” to fight the AA. 74 The
AA itself posed a direct threat, as the UN has documented their abuse of the Rohingya, including
indiscriminate attacks, killings, sexual violence, and arbitrary arrests. 75 The de facto ruling AA’s refusal to
recognize the “Rohingya” and referring to them as the derogatory term “Bengali” casts a long, dark
shadow over their future in any post-sham election scenario. Their fate remains one of the most perilous
and unresolved humanitarian crises, with civilian protection and citizenship farther from reach than ever.
Sham Election - Sham Economics
●
There are no significant indicators that the
sham election has or will increase
economic confidence.
●
The junta’s military priorities – pushing
resources and revenue into the war with
resistance – will overwhelm any agenda to
protect or rebuild the economy.
●
The fake parliament is not likely to have
the capacity nor the power to address the
soaring inflation, MMK depreciation, and
goods shortages created by the junta.
●
The regime will continue to extract more
natural resources and impose more
arbitrary taxes, feeding transnational
crime,
corruption,
conflict,
and
displacement.
The junta’s intention of using the sham election to
restore international and domestic business
confidence has been undermined by its own
violence and extortion, which has caused deep,
structural, and accelerating problems.
Since 2021, inflation has surged while the Kyat (MMK) has collapsed to historic lows, depreciating by
around 214% from 1,331 MMK per USD before the coup to about 4,170 MMK per USD by mid-Jan 2026
(see graph). This currency collapse explains both rising prices and the public’s total loss of confidence.
72
Irrawaddy (29 May 2024) Rohingya Forced to Fight Alongside Myanmar Army Tormentors
Al Jazeera (4 Apr 2025) Myanmar confirms 180,000 Rohingya eligible to return, Bangladesh says
74
BROUK (25 Jun 2024) New Report: The Intensifying Rohingya Genocide
75
UN General Assembly (25 Oct 2025) Situation of human rights in Myanmar
73
14