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Public Perceptions of the Present and Future of Myanmar 34 4.1 Trust in Opposition Figures The Spring Revolution—and its leadership—earned unprecedented public support, momentum that can extend beyond mobilization. This trust presents a unique opportunity to strengthen policy and program delivery. To identify its sources, the Blue Shirt team asked respondents how much they trust various opposition figures, both as individuals and as institutions. In general, a significant majority – about seven out of ten respondents – indicated high trust in both actors and institutions. Of these, former State Counselor Daw Aung San Suu Kyi stands out as the most trusted political figure, with the People’s Defense Forces ranking second. No confidence at all Not very much confidence A great deal of confidence DK/RA Quite a lot of confidence Daw Aung San Suu Kyi 3% 7% People’s Defense Forces (PDF) of NUG 3% 9% National Unity Government (NUG) 4% 13% 47% NUG Acting President Duwa Lashi La 4% 13% 43% 20% 19% Public administration bodies of NUG 4% 14% 46% 17% 19% National Unity Consultative Council (NUCC) 5% 14% 44% 16% 21% Local Defense Forces (LDF) 4% 16% 45% 13% 21% 0% 32% 48% 46% 20% 40% 60% 11% 27% 16% 20% 17% 80% 100% Fig-40 : Trust in opposition figures (Overall) n=2808

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Four Years of Resistance: PublicPerceptions of thePresent and Future of Myanmar

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Burmese
English

Topic

Military Coup

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Blue Shirt Initiative (BSI)

Date Published: Jul 4, 2025

Abstract: Over the past four years, the social, political, and economic lives of the people in Myanmar have undergone significant changes. These developments are interpreted differently by various political actors—some view them as temporary disruptions that could soon give way to a more promising future, while others fear that the country is on the brink of becoming a failed state. But how do ordinary people perceive these conflicts? What are their expectations? Given the tremendous amount of noise in the information ecosystem these days, it is almost impossible to detect the true voices of the people. The Blue Shirt team decided to speak directly with the public to bring out their voices and break through the echo chamber of social media. From March 21 to 25, 2025, the Blue Shirt team interviewed 3,128 people from 237 townships across the country. During the survey, respondents were asked about their perceptions and expectations regarding the current situation in Myanmar—specifically, how they feel about the Spring Revolution at present, whether they are optimistic or pessimistic, hopeful or depressed, and about their daily struggles. As discussions around the formation of new states or federal units—and even secession—become more frequent among key stakeholders, we asked the public how they feel about these issues. In addition, we asked their views on what they believe would be realistic and pragmatic solutions to end the ongoing conflicts. Since the Myanmar military staged a coup in 2021, it has been impossible to use probability sampling methods—particularly for civic groups. Instead, purposive sampling was employed, and the fieldwork was completed on March 25, 2025, three days before a 7.7 magnitude earthquake struck central Myanmar. Two important caveats are worth noting: First, because probability sampling was not used, the findings may not fully represent the entire population of Myanmar.To ensure the security and safety of both enumerators and respondents, only individuals associated with the Blue Shirt were included. As a result, approximately 80 percent of respondents reported being interested in politics. However, they do offer valuable insights into prevailing societal trends. Second, as the fieldwork concluded before the earthquake, we cannot determine whether public perceptions have remained the same or were affected by the disaster.

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BSI_National_Survey_Jun_2025_EN.pdf
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Myanmar Internet Project

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Four Years of Resistance: PublicPerceptions of thePresent and Future of Myanmar

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