destruction and expulsion of Rohingya Muslims.32 With a history of persecution,
Myanmar’s Muslim community are already at a disadvantage and lack what Waldron
(2012) describes as a right to dignity - their social standing that entitles them to be
treated as ordinary members of society and protected by human rights standards.33
Levinger’s Four Step Assessment Framework
To critically analyse the situation in Myanmar further and get to grips with the main
factors that drive the conflict, Levinger’s four step process of conflict assessment will
be used, though I will limit my use to the first three. These steps are: dividers and
connectors, actors or parties, drivers of conflict and peace, and indication of the
conflict trajectory.34
Dividers and connectors
Dividers are sources of polarization between groups in a region; one example of a
divider that Levinger gives, which relates closely to the situation in Myanmar, is the
‘horizontal inequality along ethnic or geographic lines, with certain groups facing
systematic marginalization.’35 There are around 135 ethnic groups in Myanmar but the
Bamar ethnic group makes up about two-thirds of the population and controls the
military and the government.36 The Panglong agreement of 1947 which was set out to
defend the rights of minorities has not been respected by Myanmar’s government or
military; ethnic and religious minorities, such as the country’s Muslims, still have no
real protection within the constitution, which many believe will lead to the
32
Zarni, M., (2012) ‘Buddhist Nationalism in Burma: Institutionalized racism against the Rohingya
Muslims led Burma to Genocide’, Tricycle, available at: http://www.tricycle.com/feature/buddhistnationalism-burma [November 2015].
33
Waldron, J., (2012) The Harm in Hate Speech, Harvard University Press, p.5.
34
Levinger, M., (2013) Conflict analysis: understanding causes, unlocking solutions, United States
Institute of Peace, pp.95-106.
35
Levinger, (2013) p.98.
36
Oxford
Burma
Alliance,
‘Ethnic
Nationalities
of
Burma’,
http://www.oxfordburmaalliance.org/ethnic-groups.html [November 2015].
available
at:
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