Drivers of Conflict and Peace
The third step of Levinger’s conflict assessment framework asks: how do actors use
dividers to provoke conflict/ promote peace? This step will be used to draw
conclusions from the previous two sections about the motivations of the actors, and
their means of mobilising their constituents to provoke hate or promote peace. Most
importantly for this study, this section will focus on the role or religion as a driver in
both conflict and peace, using various economic or political situations to their
advantage. Some key questions to consider are shown below.
How are key actors using dividers to escalate conflict, or connectors to deescalate conflict?
What are the motivations of these actors?
What resources do they have at the disposal?52
Buddhism has become increasingly politicized by Ma Ba Tha and Wirathu. Special
advisors from the United Nations have warned that ‘the promotion of a political
agenda that is based primarily on the protection of a particular religion or ethnic
group is dangerous, particularly in a country as richly diverse as Myanmar.’53 They
argue that the anti-Muslim rhetoric can promote violence and is furthering the
marginalisation that religious minorities have faced for decades. As discussed earlier,
Wirathu is motivated by the ideology of a Buddhist nationalist identity that excludes
the Muslim minority. Through his growing support online and in the sangha, he is able
to play on the fear and scepticism towards Muslim neighbouring countries such as
Malaysia, Indonesia, and Bangladesh, to promote the restrictive laws of Ma Ba Tha
that aim to control the Muslim population, thus ensuring Myanmar remains a
Buddhist state (though consisting of only a small percentage of the population,
Muslims pose no real threat). The fear or ‘divider’ generates anxiety over the higher
52
Levinger, (2013) pp.103-106.
53
Dieng, A. and Welsh, J., (2015) ‘UN Special Advisers' Statement on Myanmar’, United Nations
Human Rights, available at: http://bangkok.ohchr.org/news/press/SpecialAdvisers.aspx
[November].
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