boundaries, locations of towns, and railway and road networks. I measure distances from
the township centroid to the nearest major city (capital, state/region capital or district
town), railway, major road, cell phone tower by MPT, and cell phone tower by another
mobile network provider. I use the SRTM elevation data to complement the data with
topographic characteristics.
5. Empirical Strategy
My empirical strategy is to use mobile phone coverage by a mobile network provider
offering the zero-rated plan as an exogenous determinant of social media use. The aim is to
compare otherwise similar locations that were differently exposed to Facebook access. To
identify the causal effect of mobile phone coverage on probability of conflict, variation in
mobile phone coverage must be uncorrelated with all other determinants of the outcome.
The endogeneity concern is that cell towers are located strategically in areas that are
more prone to conflict. I exploit plausibly exogenous local variation in cell phone signal
strength, which is due to topographic variation between cell phone towers and receiver
locations. First, I use the Irregular Terrain Model to predict where cell phone signal is
strong enough for reception. I then compute the share of each township with reception,
and use that as the main independent variable. I conduct both cross-sectional and panel
data analysis.
5.1. Linear Probability Model
In the cross-sectional analysis I estimate the following linear probability model
Yi = βCoverageF Bi + δCoveragei + Xi0 γ + λd + εi
(1)
where Yi is the outcome in township i, CoverageFB i is the predicted cell phone coverage
by MPT and β is the key parameter of interest. To distinguish the effect of Facebook
access from cell phone coverage in general, I control for cell phone coverage from other
providers, denoted by Coverage i . Xi is a set of township level controls, λd is a district
fixed effect, and εi is the error term.
The source of exogenous variation that I exploit comes only from terrain differences
between locations and cell towers. I control for the factors that might be correlated both
with incidence of conflict and having cell phone coverage. Because it is likely that the
cell phone towers are located so as to maximize covered population, to control for the
demand factors, I include controls for log population, log population density, dummy for
below median urban rate, share of 15-64-year-olds, share of population with no ID, share
of households with electricity, mobile phone, landline phone, and internet at home. As
geographic and topographic characteristics of a town can influence the cost of providing
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