Country
Groups
Peoples under Threat 2019
Conflict indicators
Indicators of population flight/group division
Democracy/governance indicators
Total
A. Selfdetermination
conflicts
B. Major
armed conflict
C. Prior
genocide/
politicide
D. Flight of
refugees and
IDPs
E. Legacy of
vengeance
– group
grievance
F. Rise of
factionalized
elites
G. Voice and
accountability
H. Political
stability
I. Rule of law
J. OECD
country risk
classification
Syria
Political targets, Sunnis, Shi’a/Alawites, Yezidis, Christians, Druze, Kurds,
Palestinians
5
2
1
0.7456
9.9
9.9
-1.968
-2.631
-2.090
7
28.820
Somalia
Minorities incl. Bantu, Benadiri and ‘caste’ groups (Gabooye etc.); clan
members at risk in fighting incl. Hawiye, Darod, etc.
4
2
1
0.2657
9.0
10.0
-1.778
-2.326
-2.313
7
23.116
South Sudan
Murle, Nuer, Dinka, Anuak, Jie, Kachipo
0
2
1
0.3248
9.7
9.7
-1.816
-2.461
-1.938
7
21.571
Afghanistan
Hazara, Pashtun, Tajiks, Uzbeks, Turkmen, Baluchis, Kuchis
4
2
1
0.1528
8.1
8.6
-0.992
-2.781
-1.570
7
20.529
Iraq
Shi’a, Sunnis, Kurds, Turkmen, Christians, Mandaeans, Yezidis, Shabak, Faili
Kurds, Bahá’í, Palestinians
5
2
1
0.0853
9.3
9.6
-1.048
-2.331
-1.637
7
20.394
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Hema and Lendu, Hutu, Luba, Lunda, Tutsi/Banyamulenge,
Batwa/Bambuti, other groups
4
2
1
0.0679
10.0
9.8
-1.443
-2.302
-1.690
7
20.289
Sudan
Fur, Zaghawa, Massalit and others in Darfur; Ngok Dinka, Nuba, Beja
5
2
1
0.0684
10.0
9.7
-1.826
-2.007
-1.109
7
20.284
Yemen
Zaydi Shi’a, Sunni tribes, al-Muhamasheen, Southerners
5
2
0
0.0773
9.5
10.0
-1.692
-2.961
-1.753
7
19.804
Pakistan
Shi’a (incl. Hazara), Ahmadis, Hindus, Christians and other religious
minorities; Baluchis, Mohhajirs, Pashtun, Sindhis
5
2
1
0.0020
9.7
8.9
-0.695
-2.399
-0.724
7
18.313
Central African Republic
Muslims, Christians; Kaba (Sara), Mboum, Mbororo, Gula, Aka
0
2
0
0.2983
8.8
9.7
-1.107
-1.939
-1.731
7
17.718
Libya
Black Libyans, Sub-Saharan migrants, Tebu, Berbers; religious targets
4
2
0
0.0410
7.8
9.4
-1.443
-2.326
-1.784
7
17.705
Ethiopia
Anuak, Afars, Oromo, Somalis, smaller minorities
4
2
1
0.0137
8.8
8.4
-1.442
-1.687
-0.454
7
17.462
Nigeria
Ibo, Ijaw, Ogoni, Yoruba, Hausa (Muslims) and Christians in the North
5
2
1
0.0132
9.3
9.6
-0.342
-1.943
-0.866
6
17.183
Burma/ Myanmar
Kachin, Karenni, Karen, Mons, Rakhine, Rohingyas, Shan, Chin (Zomis), Wa
5
2
1
0.0296
9.8
8.3
-0.866
-1.084
-0.945
6
16.958
Burundi
Hutu, Tutsi, Batwa
0
1
1
0.0648
7.6
7.9
-1.568
-1.970
-1.396
7
15.790
Iran
Arabs, Azeris, Bahá’í, Baluchis, Kurds, Turkomen
4
1
1
0.0025
9.3
9.6
-1.299
-0.930
-0.683
6
15.087
Cameroon
Anglophones, Bakassi
5
2
0
0.0114
8.4
9.1
-1.049
-1.085
-1.024
6
14.939
Ukraine
Tatars, Krymchak and Karaites in Crimea; Russians, Hungarians, Moldovans
and other national minorities
5
2
0
0.0441
6.4
8.0
0.013
-1.886
-0.711
7
14.800
Eritrea
Afars, Saho, Tigre, religious minorities
4
0
0
0.1129
7.4
8.1
-2.165
-0.656
-1.564
7
14.472
State of Palestine
Gazans, Bedouin
5
1
0
0.0230
10.0
8.1
-1.031
-1.644
-0.416
7
14.463
Egypt
Copts, Shi’a, Bahá’í; Nubians, Bedouin
5
2
0
0.0004
8.9
8.8
-1.249
-1.415
-0.535
5
14.278
Turkey
Kurds, Alevis, Roma, Armenians and other Christians
5
2
0
0.0012
10.0
9.1
-0.707
-1.797
-0.250
5
14.074
Chad
‘Black African’ groups, Arabs, Southerners
2
1
0
0.0110
7.7
9.5
-1.372
-1.341
-1.295
7
13.610
Zimbabwe
Ndebele, Europeans, political/social targets
2
0
1
0.0020
7.0
10.0
-1.202
-0.774
-1.379
7
13.583
Russian Federation
Chechens, Ingush and others in North Caucasus; indigenous northern
peoples, Roma, Jews, Central Asians, migrants
5
1
1
0.0007
8.5
8.1
-1.091
-0.674
-0.794
4
13.582
Philippines
Indigenous peoples, Moros (Muslims), Chinese
5
2
1
0.0048
8.2
8.0
0.082
-1.237
-0.414
3
13.192
Mali
Tuareg, Arabs, Maure, and others in the north
4
1
0
0.0129
7.9
5.4
-0.256
-1.910
-0.777
7
12.914
Equatorial Guinea
Bubi, Annobon Islanders
1
0
1
0.0002
6.0
8.2
-1.974
-0.148
-1.489
7
12.855
Angola
Bakongo, Cabindans, Ovimbundu, Pastoralists, San and Kwisi
4
0
1
0.0012
7.2
7.2
-1.099
-0.295
-1.104
6
12.660
Lebanon
Druze, Maronite Christians, Palestinians, Shi’a, Sunnis
2
1
0
0.0023
8.2
9.6
-0.577
-1.594
-0.824
7
12.610
Uganda
Acholi, Karamojong, Bakonzo, Bamba, Basongora, Batwa
2
1
1
0.0046
8.6
8.6
-0.593
-0.557
-0.296
6
12.359
Venezuela
Indigenous peoples, Afro-descendants, political/social targets
0
0
0
0.0274
7.3
8.5
-1.211
-1.180
-2.255
7
11.928
Algeria
Berbers, Saharawi
2
1
1
0.0002
7.3
7.1
-0.895
-0.960
-0.865
4
Niger
Djerema-songhai, Hausa, Tuaregs
2
1
0
0.0081
7.7
8.9
-0.414
-1.303
-0.676
7
11.872
------------11.866
China
Tibetans, Uyghurs, Mongols, Hui, religious minorities
5
1
1
0.0002
7.6
7.2
-1.505
-0.251
-0.263
2
11.488
10
Peoples under Threat 2019
Peoples under Threat 2019
11